Week 17 PICS

Happy New years!!!!!!!! It’s the final week of the NFL regular season and there is still a lot on the line. The west and one wild card, as well as home field advantage and a 1st round bye are all one the line in the AFC. The NFC has the East to clear up as well as who travels to that winner and whether or not the Saints or 49ers are getting a bye. The NFC in particular is real interesting because im sure Detroit/Atlanta would rather travel to the NFC east winner than face 49ers/Saints in the 1st round.

On to the picks

This years record 105-92-4

Last week 8-6

 

Pittsburgh @ Cleveland                               Line Steelers -10

Big Ben is still dinged up but he will be a go this week. The Steelers need a win plus Baltimore loss to get the 2 seed and a bye, I think they might struggle this week. When Ben is playing injured he forces things and even thou the browns secondary is suspect they can make some plays. In the end Pitts D is too strong for the weak offensive unit of the Cleveland Browns. Steelers 20 Browns 7

San Francisco @ St. Louis                             Line 49ers -9

The 9ers clinch the 2 seed with a win, and it should be an easy week for them. I think Kendall Hunter will get a lot of reps to rest Gore, I don’t see him getting more than 12 carries. The o-line is as solid as can be so not much risk of an Alex Smith injury. Congrats to Stephen Jackson he passed 1K rushing for 7th time too bad he always plays for a shitty team. 49ers 21 Rams 10

Carolina @ New Orleans                              Line Saints -7

Coach Sean Peyton said this week every one will be playing no rest for his team and I don’t blame him. With San Fran going against a much weaker team the Saints chances of getting the 2 seed are highly unlikely. The Panthers have been tough against everyone and Cam Newton is officially a beast and will be a top fantasy pick candidate next year, the Saints want to have momentum going into round 1. I’m sure last years debacle in Seattle is in the back of their minds. They Saints win but don’t cover. Saints 31 Panthers 27

Buffalo @ New England                               Line Patriots -12

Can the Bills shock New England again? I doubt it but I thought the pats would roll over Miami last week and that didn’t happen either. The Bills will play hard but this game is too important for the Pats a win and they lock up home field thru out, a loss and they will be the 2 seed. The Bills passing game will be a hard match up for the Pats but I always like the Pats against divisional teams they have lost to previously. Patriots 34 Bills 27

Chicago @ Minnesota                   Line Bears-1

The Vikings are in the running for the # 1 pick but are they in the market for Luck, I don’t know, Ponder has played well but he has regressed a little, Joe Webb led them on 5 straight scoring drives last week but I cant see him being the answer. Toby Gerhart has looked decent when AP has been out in the past, and now Peterson will probably be out a portion of next year as well so the Vikings have a lot of questions about what to do with a likely top 3 pick. Da Bears have fallen flat since the Cutler injury and would like to finish the season on a winning note but they really don’t have anyone who can play well left, no forte, no Knox, no cutler…They do have a good D and they will ride them to a win this week. Bears 20 Vikings 17

Ny Jets @ Miami                             Line Dolphins -1

The Jets need to win and get a lot of help. The Dolphins are playing for pride, they pushed the Patriots to the brink last week now they have a chance to finish on a high note by ensuring a divisional foe misses out on postseason as well. The Jets have been hyped up for years based on road playoff wins against quality teams but this year they couldn’t get it done and this week will be a microcosm of their season just not enough. Dolphins 24 Jets 20

Detroit @ Green Bay                     Line Lions -3

So the Pack are dogs for the 1st time all year, that’s because this game means nothing for them, Woodson, Matthews and Starks should all sit and AR12 should only play 1st half if that, Matt Flynn will look to play well because he is hitting the FA market after this season and should have a couple suitors lining up. The Lions on the other hand need this game badly, a win and they go on the road to DAL/NYG winner a loss and they go to the SuperDome to play the Saints. Stafford will look to exploit the Packs secondary with the long ball to Megatron but I think Flynn has a great game and the Pack pull it out on  Crosby kick at the horn. Packers 27 Lions 24

Tennessee @ Houston                 Line Titans -3

The Titans are still alive and they also need a win + help, CK2K has been a bust this year, but he got paid that’s really all that matters right? Hasselback has been exactly what they needed but losing Britt for the season early really hurt this team. But they are alive and anything can happen. The Texans have lost their top 2 qb’s and their best defender + andre Johnson for extended periods of time but they still won their 1st division title and will host their 1st playoff game in franchise history so all in all a good run they will get the Wildcard winner so its possible they could play the Titans in back to back weeks. If they can win this week that eliminates that scenario and I think behind Foster and the D they get it done. Texans 20 Titans 15

Indianapolis @ Jacksonville                       Line Jaguars -5

This game is almost meaningless unless of course the Colts win that will knock them out of the 1st pic but it could go to St. Louis who doesn’t need a QB or the Vikings who might not either. I think no matter what the 1st pick will get traded and the Redskins end up with it somehow just a gut feeling, something about Shanahan and kids from Stanford just seems right. Oh ya the game, Um anything I say will be horseshit, anything goes with these 2 bum squads. Colts 31 Jags 24

Washington @ Philadelphia                      Line Eagles -9

Meaningless!!! Eagles Suck way to spend all that money, I would say Andy Reid has to go but who would replace him? I would send out feelers to Parcells, Cowher and Gruden, Maybe even Bob Stoops isn’t it time he steps it up to the pro game? In the NFL you have to know what your personnel can and cant do, taking a o-line coach and giving him control of a D with linebackers the size of corners is a problem, Philly was doomed from the Jump but they win and cover this week and everyone will act like this year didn’t happen when next year starts, they will be hyped up again. Eagles 31 Skins 17

Tampa Bay @ Atlanta                    Line Falcons -13

Atlanta has been hot lately and Matt Ryan is having a nice year, They are an extremely talented team and will be a tough out for anyone in the playoffs, I believe they will win their 1st playoff game no matter if its in SF,N.O,Dal or NY. Doesn’t matter they are that good they are complete. The Bucs on the other hand, JEESH!!! Losers of 9 straight, this team was 4-2 now 4-11 wow what a turnaround. I like Raheem Morris as a coach and I think Freeman can play so I wont say they need to start over yet. They will play hard this week and back door the spread. Falcons 31 Bucs 20

Baltimore @ Cincy                          Line Ravens -3

The 2nd biggest game of the week, pits these 2 division foes against each other, Bmore needs to win to get the division and 1st round bye, Cincy win and there in. The Bengals played the Ravens well in Baltimore a month ago and the Ravens have been atrocious on the road. Coach Harbaugh knows whats on the line and so do his battle tested players. The Bengals are a young team and they wont be scared, but I think Baltimore overcomes their road woes and knocks off this young Bengals Ravens 24 Bengals 20

Seattle @ Arizona                           Line Cardinals -3

What to say, What to say! Another meaningless game. If you told me at beginning of season this game would be fun to watch I would say your crazy. But it will be so many guys on both teams are playing well they both just lost to many games early for this to matter. I’m so happy for my boy Calais Campbell the former Cane has been a man child this season and while a lot of people don’t know who he is they will soon. Marshawn Lynch has been a total world beater the last 10 weeks he is still in beast mode and playing great. Seattle 21 Cardinals 20

San Diego @ Oakland                    Line RAIDERS -3

My heart really wants me to take Oakland in this game but by football brain tells me the penalties and Carson Palmers color blindness make that difficult. The Raiders have not had a losing season in 2 years but I don’t think they will have a winning one Either. Of course we don’t even have this conversation if the foot injury that knocked D-mac out for 2-3 weeks 3 months ago doesn’t happen. The Chargers have been better and are an enigma once again but what better way to finish a season than to knock the Hated(by them) Raiders out of the playoffs and a possible division win. Chargers 28 Raiders 17

Kansas City @ Denver                   Line Broncos -3

The NFL wants Teebow in the Playoffs, Denver wants into the playoffs hell God and his kid want Teebow in the playoffs, well I don’t im kinda tired of it. Ya he wins I get it but he has proved the last 2 weeks he is kinda a gimmick. Put 8 in the box and run a safety deep and force him to throw it. KC is playing for Romeo, they want him to be their coach, I guess their not aware of what he did to the Browns organization as the top dog. They will get their wish and they wont make the playoffs again for about 6 years good luck with that. Chiefs win but so does denver cause everyone else lost too. Kansas City 20 Broncos 14

Dallas @ NY Football Giants                       Line Gmen -3

Its all the Marbles in the NFC East, Cowboys and Giants for the right to lose in the 1st round. Romo cant play in December and now will go with his hand swelled up like a kid allergic to shellfish. The Giants cant play D very well. Eli has been great and has a lot of weapons. Cruz and Nicks are a dynamic duo and Manningham and Ballard are solid as well, the G-mens offense isn’t the problem it’s the secondary but with Romo Banged up they should be alright. Gmen in a shoot out. Giants 35 Cowboys 34

 

So if im right the Bengals, Broncos lose their way in and the Giants earn their birth.

1st round Matchups

Cincy @ Houston

Pittsburgh @ Denver

Atlanta @ New Orleans

Detroit @ NY Giants

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